Playfuls.com is commenting on a story in BusinessWeek that the PS2 is likely to outsell PS3 for the next two years. Not really a surprise, since the PS3 is four times the cost of the PS2 right now, and the market penetration of HD-capable display devices in the USA is less than 1%.
Hmm, makes sense. It kind of reminds me of something one of the Activision programmers (can't remember if it was Crane or Kitchen) said about the video game crash in the early 80s. I can't quote it, but the idea was that the market was saturated, and prices were going down. Parent's would rather buy 3 low quality games for the price of one good quality game. The companies and programmers that made a quality product couldn't generate enough revenue competing with the trashware.
Heck I even remember begging my parents for the Pitfall II cartridge for 2600. It was like $30 at the time. I almost convinced them (my parents really despised gaming btw) until they went into a Walgreens and found a bin of 2600 games at 99c a piece! So instead of getting Pitfall II, I got Atari Baseball, Street Racer, and Yar's Revenge :(
I know this isn't exactly the same situation, but it made me think about it.
What makes that especially harsh is that Pitfall II was worth the $30. It had a custom sound chip in the cartridge to support more than one voice playing at a time, and had 2x the ROM if memory serves. Game itself wasn't too shabby either.
(Edited by Servo (55941), Jan 04, 2007)Re: PS2 to outsell PS3 in 2007... AND 2008
Servo (55941), Jan 04, 2007
Yeah, no kidding;
Normally the 2600 could play 2 sound channels, Pitfall II could play 4 I believe; not only that but it performed the theme song in both major and minor keys, a feat extremely difficult (if not impossible) with stock 2600 sound abilities. I thought the 2600 version actually looked and sounded better than a few of the versions for some allegedly more powerful machines like the colecovision. And on top of the technical marvel the game was fun to play! I also really liked Yar's Revenge though...
How has everyone found PS3 game selection to be? I was at Best Buy the other night and they only had 4 games!! And that's a 3 game improvement over Circuit City's selection...doesn't exactly inspire one to buy the system when games are difficult to locate. In comparison both stores had a pretty big selection for both the Wii and Xbox 360.
hmm, hopefully this will kill sony and thes ps3. Long live dos!
No surprises. Plus there's the game spread, cost of manufacturing a game, cost of deployment and likely purchase by console owners. PS2 is going to ride PS3 like a donkey for a long time to come. Eventually I suspect PS3 will edge out the PS2, but the only way that will happen is if Sony completely halts production of the PS2 and demands that resellers no longer supply/support the PS2. Which would be foolish suicide on their part, in my opinion.
Jae Rune Wrote:
Given their track record lately, it's all the more reason for them to do it. Sony seems to know how to shoot themselves in the foot with style.
I doubt that would fix the issue. People aren't opting for PS2 because it's a better system. Close down the PS2 and they'll move back to the Xbox, Wii, or whatever else is cheap and available.
I hate it when analysts try to "predict" this stuff. Why all the guesses...and why will it matter anyway? We'll see what happens when it happens for crying out loud!
Matt Neuteboom Wrote:
Hmm, could it be that billions of dollars along with future trends in video gaming could be involved? Nah....
Some of us actually make it a point to follow the evolution and current events of video gaming.
D Michael Wrote:
Yeah, that's right. Predictions can help both consumers and developers see where the market is going. Who wants to be stuck with a $600 failed console?
I doubt that's the case. Keep in mind the PS1 didn't officially stop being supported until last year and had major releases for about 3 years after PS2 came out.
My point is that people make all these guesses all the time...some of them don't even have any authority on the subject. And even more so people are pulling these results out of their ass, or are more likely making stats based on which console they like. I remember one site had an analyst report that the PS3 would outsell the Wii three times or something outrageous like that. Look how wrong he was.